The future of stock
exchanges in the United States
The future of stock trading appears to be
electronic, as competition is continually
growing between the remaining traditional
New York Stock Exchange
specialist system against the relatively
new, all
Electronic Communications Networks, or
ECNs. ECNs point to their speedy execution
of large block trades, while specialist system
proponents cite the role of specialists in
maintaining orderly markets, especially under
extraordinary conditions or for special types of
orders.
The ECNs contend that an array of special
interests profit at the expense of investors in
even the most mundane exchange-directed trades.
Machine-based systems, they argue, are much more
efficient, because they speed up the execution
mechanism and eliminate the need to deal with an
intermediary.
Historically, the 'market'
(which, as noted, encompasses the totality of
stock trading on all exchanges) has been slow to
respond to technological innovation. Conversion
to all-electronic trading could erode/eliminate
the trading profits of floor specialists and the
NYSE's "upstairs traders."
William Lupien, founder of the
Instinet trading system and the
OptiMark system, has been quoted as saying
"I'd definitely say the ECNs are winning...
Things happen awfully fast once you reach the
tipping point. We're now at the tipping point."
Congress mandated the establishment of a
national market system of multiple
exchanges in 1975. Since then, ECNs have been
developing rapidly.
One example of improved efficiency of ECNs is
the prevention of
front running, by which manual Wall Street
traders use knowledge of a customer's incoming
order to place their own orders so as to benefit
from the perceived change to market direction
that the introduction of a large order will
cause. By executing large trades at lightning
speed without manual intervention, ECNs make
impossible this illegal practice, for which
several NYSE floor brokers were investigated and
severely fined in recent years. Under the
specialist system, when the market sees a large
trade in a name, other buyers are immediately
able to look to see how big the trader is in the
name, and make inferences about why s/he is
selling or buying. All traders who are quick
enough are able to use that information to
anticipate price movements.
ECNs have changed ordinary stock transaction
processing (like brokerage services before them)
into a commodity-type business. ECNs could
regulate the fairness of initial public
offerings (IPOs), oversee Hambrecht's OpenIPO
process, or measure the effectiveness of
securities research and use transaction fees to
subsidize small- and mid-cap research efforts.
Some, however, believe
the answer will be some combination of the best
of technology and "upstairs trading" — in other
words, a hybrid model.
Trading 25,000 shares of
Lucent stock (recentquote:
$2.80; recent volume:
49,069,700) would be a relatively simple
e-commerce transaction; trading 100 shares of
Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock (recent
quote: $88,710.00; recent volume: 450) may never
be. The choice of system should be clear (but
always that of the trader), based on the
characteristics of the security to be traded.
Even with ECNs forming an important part of a
national market system, opportunities presumably
remain to profit from the spread between the bid
and offer price. That is especially true for
investment managers that direct huge trading
volume, and own a stake in an ECN or specialist
firm. For example, in its individual
stock-brokerage accounts, "Fidelity
Investments runs 29% of its undesignated
orders in NYSE-listed stocks, and 37% of its
undesignated market orders through the
Boston Stock Exchange, where an affiliate
controls a specialist post."
Fidelity says these arrangements are governed
by a separate brokerage "order-flow management"
team, which seeks to obtain the best possible
execution for customers, and that its execution
is highly rated.
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